Tuesday, April 3, 2012

SMO SAR for Nify ji: for 4th Apr'12

Aaah.. finally Chartnexus is running again :-D


CMP: 5359

1. EOD Candle has formed a Spinning Top  (Semi-Doji for the more flexible non-stringent Candle-man )

2. As expected Nifty went up , & stagnated near 5370 which was the UTL coming down from 5629-5499

3. All EMAs have turned up & Nifty is trading > 20DSMA

4. This move "may  be" the IMPULSIVE B.c of Expanded Flat ABC, that I have discussed in my previous post , all MAY BE with EW, so this is just for my wave-surfing fun :-)

SMO SAR VERDICT:

1. 5-10 DEMA Bull X-over has occured with close > 5335. TRIGGERED LONG TRADE on SWING

2. Carry LONGS created from Lifo-Fibbo (opened @ 5238 on Friday > 34EMA, 30mins) , with :
(i) TSL @ 5340 ; or
(ii) wait for 5DEMA to change direction - dy/dx (ruffly if we close @ SMO SAR = 5295)

3. Tgts (or RES ZONES) to 50% Part-book LONGS : 5391 -5414

cheers
SMO


9 comments:

  1. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  2. hmm.. market was so beautifully working today. exact resistance levels were seen as per the trendline.

    I closed all my long at 5366. Thinking if market closes above 5370 convincingly i will initiate longs again..


    Love this method of trading now. No more predictions only facts. Thanks for bringing me to this world of trading Shri.!!!

    Appreciate it.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Sameer:

    If ur here to shake & prove pts, then ur in for the wrong reason .. :-)

    Analyse honestly , & once u find a good & REPEATABLE METHOD stick to it !!

    SMO SAR works for me, for today level for REVERSAL of SWING LONGS is 5295 EOD basis

    cheers

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. sir i didn't mean to offend u pls forgive me my expectation was based on global cues

      Delete
  4. Sachin:

    If i had listened to u 1 yr back & had stuck to classic TA, we wud have had this conversation many moons back !

    Anyways, I dont consider the amout of hard work i invested in EWT as a waste. May be once the eye is trained, we can come bring in the EWT angle again.
    Everything has a use somewhere ....

    For now , DATA DRIVEN TOOLS like PSAR , JNSAR or SMO SAR are ideal for our MENTALITY & allow us to "SEE PRICE"

    Bhaav Bhagwaan che :-)

    cheers

    ReplyDelete
  5. Hi Sameer,

    No probs... all fine

    My firm view:
    1. with EWT nothing is sure, ABSOLUTELY NOTHING!

    2. With Hi-Lo EMAs also nothing is 100% , but the ODDS for CORRECT ANALYSIS "FOR ME PERSONALLY" get far far better !!

    RISK-REWARD is the name of the game my friend & getting the TA right is the first step.

    Choosing the right Instrument to trade is the 2nd :-)

    cheers

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. sir extending my presumption wave 1 5135 - 5378 (243=.67 of 5499-5135) wave 2 5378-5195 (.75 of wave 1)

      Delete
  6. Quite possible sameer

    Frankly one cannot evaluate "PROBABILITY" of a developing EW lable, hence i would request you to be careful

    I have left the EWT road a long time ago, as far as Analysis goes for working out my SET UPS.

    Only use it for ACADEMIC SPECULATION nowdays

    cheers

    ReplyDelete